Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose7-9 53%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
3
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+33.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
29. Okt. 26, 07:50 UTC8. Nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Te Pati Maori or Opportunity Party poll at 5.00% or more for the 2026 NZ election?
Manifold MarketsWill Opportunity party get 9.000% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ general election?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
PolymarketNZ Election: National Party # of seats?
PolymarketNZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: National Party # of seats?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Opportunity Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Opportunity Party in this election.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
