Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 95.1%
Prognostiker
14
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet3. Nov. 25, 14:03 UTC1. Jan. 27, 08:43 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PolymarketWill OpenAI release another open source LLM before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will an open-source LLM be released with a better performance than GPT-4?
Manifold MarketsWill Adam optimizer no longer be the default optimizer for training the best open source models by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill an open-source AI model top the LMSYS Leaderboard at the end of 2026?
FutuurTop Open Source AI this week
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the complete source code of Minecraft: Java Edition is released under an open source license (OSI-approved or equivalent) that permits free use, modification, and redistribution.
- The source code must be publicly available in its entirety, not merely select libraries or components.
- Resolution can be verified via official Minecraft/Microsoft announcements or the official GitHub repository.
- This market resolves NO if the game remains closed-source or if only partial libraries continue to be released without the full codebase becoming open source.
- Original Minecraft creator Notch stated he would release the game source code as open source once sales start dying and a minimum time has passed.
Offene Märkte
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,750 or above99%
- $73,000 or above99%
- $73,500 or above99%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,1 Mio. €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $67,000 or above98%
- $64,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $67,500 or above98%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 906.661,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIETH price on Sep 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,300 or above97%
- $2,340 or above96%
- $2,380 or above93%
+37 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 285.422,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 231.211,5 €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 15, 2026?
- Seattle+85.0pt99%
- Chicago+21.0pt99%
- Miami-14.0pt52%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 249.108,7 €
LIMITLESSMeta (META) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes70%
- No30%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 222.902,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 208.688,2 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 180-199+7.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+3.0pt26.7%
- 220-239-1.0pt16.2%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 15, 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down - Daily
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Elon Musk # tweets September 14 - September 16, 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 15, 2026?
- Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Minecraft: Java Edition becomes open source by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 95% (Stand: 15. September 2026).
- Wann wird Minecraft: Java Edition becomes open source by end of 2026? entschieden?
- Minecraft: Java Edition becomes open source by end of 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Minecraft: Java Edition becomes open source by end of 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria