Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 99.4%
Prognostiker
14
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet1. Feb. 26, 17:59 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Donald Trump OR Marco Rubio visit Cuba before Trump’s presidency ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance, Marco Rubio OR Gavin Newsom win the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Marco Rubio win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExWhat countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?
KalshiWhen will Marco Rubio announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Marco Rubio becomes president of Cuba before 2029.
- Resolution will be determined by official Cuban government sources and international news reporting confirming Rubio's assumption of the presidency.
- The market resolves NO if this does not occur by a specified date, or if it becomes clear the event will not happen.
- In January 2026, President Trump responded to a social media post suggesting Secretary of State Marco Rubio could become president of Cuba, writing that it "sounds good to me!" Rubio, the son of Cuban emigrants born in Miami and the current Secretary of State of the United States, is one of the most hostile figures toward the regime in Havana and has systematically linked the fate of Cuba with that of Venezuela.
- In his 2012 memoir, Rubio recalled: "I boasted I would someday lead an army of exiles to overthrow Fidel Castro and become president of a free Cuba."
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Marco Rubio becomes president of Cuba before 2029?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 99% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Marco Rubio becomes president of Cuba before 2029 entschieden?
- Marco Rubio becomes president of Cuba before 2029 soll am 31. Dezember 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Marco Rubio becomes president of Cuba before 2029 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution Criteria