Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 55.4%
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet19. Jan. 26, 00:56 UTC30. Juni 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which major US health insurer will first mention tobacco harm reduction--by vaping or pouch use--in enrollee materials?
Manifold MarketsBrightSpring Health prescriptions filled in fiscal 2026
KalshiBrightSpring Health home health average daily census in fiscal 2026
KalshiWhat will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
Manifold MarketsWill a Democratic Senator say something positive about Trump's death within 24 hours of it happening?
Manifold MarketsWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiRegeln
There will be a revelation, confirmed by the Trump camp, on a negative health situation / prognosis / etc for Trump by June 30 2027 eod
Offene Märkte
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 693.010,4 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 266.941,4 €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 248.725,9 €
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Major revelation about Trump's health, negative, by mid 2027?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 55% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Major revelation about Trump's health, negative, by mid 2027 entschieden?
- Major revelation about Trump's health, negative, by mid 2027 soll am 30. Juni 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Major revelation about Trump's health, negative, by mid 2027 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: There will be a revelation, confirmed by the Trump camp, on a negative health situation / prognosis / etc for Trump by June 30 2027 eod