Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 74.5%
Prognostiker
31
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet6. Feb. 24, 15:59 UTC1. Jan. 00, 15:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
OpenAI discovers room-temperature superconductor before EOY?
Manifold MarketsIs rationalussy the secret ingredient to a room temperature superconductor?
Manifold MarketsWill strong AGI be achieved before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99?
Manifold MarketsIf the Room-Temperature Superconductor is not real, will calculating a 2048-bit RSA Key Cost <$1000 in 2030?
Manifold MarketsNear room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 18, 2026?
KalshiRegeln
I find it interesting that both are basically computational problems - simulating plasma physics or material science.
- This market resolves true if a room temperature superconductor is officially found (and recognized by the scientific community) before a company manages to achieve net fusion energy production.
- If the opposite happens, the outcome is false.
- N/A if neither happens in this century.
