Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 67%
Prognostiker
19
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet7. Apr. 25, 20:59 UTC15. Jan. 29, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Conditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?
Manifold MarketsTrump administration does another regime change after removing Venezuela's Maduro?
Manifold MarketsWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall before 2028?
PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?
PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall by October 31?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the current Iranian regime remains in power throughout Donald Trump's presidency and is still in power when Trump leaves office.
- It resolves to NO if the regime collapses, is overthrown, or fundamentally transforms into a different system of government during Trump's term.
- Happy to clarify edge cases.
