In which of the following years will the net rate of chemical conversion of hydrogen into hydrocarbons be positive?
One-OffRohstoffeWissenschaftManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose2050 34.5%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 48 Minuten
Verzogert17. Nov. 23, 16:49 UTC31. Dez. 50, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years? (2030)
Manifold MarketsThere will be credible evidence that an AI agent is running independently on the web in any of the following years
Manifold MarketsHow common will Jury Nullification be in the following years, according to a funded collaborative review?
Manifold MarketsWill a Kalshi worker win a labor rights settlement in any of the following years?
Manifold MarketsWill TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Currently the majority of hydrogen available is produced through some form of hydrocarbon decomposition.
- A reverse process however - for example catalytic conversion of hydrogen and CO2 into methane - is also possible and would create a renewable source of hydrocarbons, which will be increasingly valuable as fossil fuels become more expensive.
- Resolves YES if in a given year the mass of hydrogen used up in such processes exceeds the mass derived from hydrocarbons.
