Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Are Recursive Language Models the "Next Frontier" of AI in 2026 according to Manifold users?
Do Manifold users think that Model UN is dumb? (resolves end of 2026)
One year later, how will Manifold users view the effects of arXiv's separation from Cornell University?
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Regeln
If Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, I will conduct a simple YES/NO poll on Manifold titled "Has Trump performed better than you expected as President?" I will post this poll on or around November 3rd, 2026.
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