Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 68.5%
Prognostiker
16
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet19. Apr. 25, 01:14 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
Resolves yes if Trump is assassinated before January 20, 2029 AND in the week following (starting at the time of the fatal attack, even if death occurs at a later time) SPX increases by at least 3% (measured by exact price to exact price, or most recent close if the attack occurs outside trading hours) according to Yahoo Finance.
- Resolves no if Trump is assassinated and SPX does not increase by >3%.
- Resolves NA if Trump is not assassinated before January 20, 2029.
