If the filibuster is ended by the midterms, what will the outcome of the 2026 US House and Senate elections be?
PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahlUS-Zwischenwahlen 20263T
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseD House, R Senate 48.7%Führend unter 5 Optionen
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5
Fragetyp
multiple choice
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Veraltet3. Mai 26, 15:53 UTC3. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Outcome of the 2026 US Midterm election
Manifold MarketsWill Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
Manifold MarketsWill a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win 53 seats or more in the 2026 Senate elections?
Manifold MarketsControl of the US Senate after the 2026 Elections
FutuurWill the same party control the U.S. House and Senate?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves N/A if the filibuster is not ended by the midterms.
- Otherwise, resolves at the parties that have a majority in the House and Senate, respectively.
- If the Senate is 50-50, resolves R Senate.
- If neither the Republican nor Democratic Caucuses have a majority in a chamber, resolves at the party of the majority leader in that chamber.
- Resolves "other" if these conditions are somehow impossible to apply (e.g. independent majority leader, no midterms, house or senate no longer exist, all the congresspeople are abducted by aliens).
