Aktuelle Community-Prognose
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 33 Minuten
19. Mai 26, 20:40 UTC19. Mai 76, 20:38 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Title:Will a Kessler Syndrome cascade begin in Low Earth Orbit before 2046?
Manifold MarketsWill Bishop Daniel Flores become the first Bishop of Martian land within his lifetime?
Manifold MarketsTrump goes to space in 2026?
PolymarketTrump goes to space in 2028? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsHow Long Until We Have A President Who Goes To Space?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves Yes if Elon Musk personally flies aboard a spacecraft that reaches an altitude exceeding 2,000 km above Earth's surface (or achieves a trajectory that escapes Low Earth Orbit) at any point before his death.
- It resolves No only if he does fly to space (crossing the Kármán line at 100 km) during his lifetime but all of his spaceflights remain in Low Earth Orbit (maximum altitude below 2,000 km).
- The market will be voided (N/A) if Elon Musk never flies to space at all before his death.
