Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 63.5%
Prognostiker
39
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet19. März 26, 02:01 UTC3. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Chuck Schumer announce he’s not running for reelection before EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsChuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader?
KalshiWill Chuck Schumer announce he’s not running for reelection before EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Chuck Schumer remain the Democratic Leader through the 119th Congress?
PredictItWill Chuck Schumer run for reelection?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves n/a if democrats do not control the senate after the 2026 elections.
- Resolves yes if chuck schumer is the first senate democratic leader after the 2026 elections
- Resolves no if anyone else is the first senate democratic leader after the 2026 elections
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 64% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader? entschieden?
- IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader? soll am 3. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves n/a if democrats do not control the senate after the 2026 elections.