Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseThey Will Never Actually Be Implemented 84.6%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
44
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet17. Jan. 26, 18:00 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump order more tariffs in Nov 2026?
KalshiWill the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?
KalshiWill a PS5 cost >%10 more to US consumers as a result of tariffs before the 2026 US midterms?
Manifold MarketsUS tariffs on Chinese imports on January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the United States impose additional tariffs on EU by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExRegeln
On 1/17, Trump announced new tariffs on Denmark and other EU countries with the apparent goal of reaching a deal to purchase Greenland.
- This market only concerns Greenland specific tariffs, not pre-existing EU tariffs.
- Update 2026-01-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the peak tariff rate falls between two answer choices (e.g., 17.5% when choices are 10% and 25%), the market will resolve split proportionally between those two choices (e.g., 50/50 for a rate exactly halfway between).