Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose< 1 year (includes 0 time) 90.3%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
14
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet28. Juni 23, 01:24 UTC1. Jan. 27, 02:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Sourcery with Molly O'Shea: Will Donald Trump go on?
KalshiWill Trump go a full week without speaking live on camera before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Pavel Durov (Telegram’s CEO) go to jail?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk ever go to jail after being convicted of a crime?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump go on SNL during his second term?
KalshiPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRegeln
Based on time sentenced.
- Resolves on initial sentencing announcement (all counts combined), without waiting for appeals.
- Resolves to < 1 year if not sentenced by the end of 2026.
- Resolves to the lowest valid bracket.
- So a sentence of 9 years would resolve to < 10.
- A sentence of home detention without actual jail time would fall under the [< 1 year] option.
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für How Long Will Trump Go To Jail??
- Manifold Markets bewertet < 1 year (includes 0 time) mit 90% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird How Long Will Trump Go To Jail? entschieden?
- How Long Will Trump Go To Jail? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird How Long Will Trump Go To Jail? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Based on time sentenced.