Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseOther 46.7%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
18
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 50 Minuten
Verzogert10. Apr. 24, 06:16 UTC1. Jan. 29, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Lantern Bioworks' Lumina ProBiotic: Does it work and does it have side effects? [Scott Alexander's possibilities]
Manifold MarketsWill Lantern Bioworks Lumina treatment be FDA Approved for preventing tooth decay by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Lantern Bioworks's cavity-curing bioengineered S. mutans (Lumina) turn out to have horrible downsides by 2029?
Manifold MarketsMale oral contraceptives available in the market by the end of 2026?
FutuurEbola pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Lasting means 'present in effective amounts on most teeth', not 'present in any amount on any teeth'.
- Ranges are technically (a, b].
- If a proper study is conducted, will resolve based on that.
- Otherwise, the resolver will attempt collect data to resolve the market.
- Resolution will be based on the informed judgement of the resolver about what best fits the intent.
- Resolver is me by default, or the manifold moderation team if my resolution is disputed.
Offene Märkte
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 15,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 18.288,2 €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5178,9 €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 916.002,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1515,1 €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-2.0pt57%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 863.640,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1039 €
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für How long will the Lumina oral probiotic last in your mouth, by median??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Other mit 47% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird How long will the Lumina oral probiotic last in your mouth, by median? entschieden?
- How long will the Lumina oral probiotic last in your mouth, by median? soll am 1. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird How long will the Lumina oral probiotic last in your mouth, by median? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Lasting means 'present in effective amounts on most teeth', not 'present in any amount on any teeth'.