Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose2029 or earlier 56.3%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet26. Okt. 25, 15:01 UTC5. Jan. 30, 14:18 UTC
Trends
Regeln
Resolves YES if I notice my laptop's hardware performance has degraded so much that it significantly impacts my usage.
- Resolves NO if the year passes without those issues.
- resolves NA if I stop using my laptop but I still judge it to be in good condition.
- Not sure how I should resolve in case of theft, loss, or damage clearly unrelated to age (e.g. falling from a building).
- Currently leaning towards NA, but will announce in a comment if this changes.
- Examples of things that would make it resolve YES:
