GOP share of senate seats after 2026 midterms? (Resolves to %)
PolitikOne-OffSportFußballUS-Zwischenwahlen 2026WahlUS-Politik10T
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Daten vom 24.10.2026, 01:51 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
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Resolves to the percentage of the seats controlled by the GOP after the 2026 midterms.
- The tiebreak of the VP is irrelevant for the purposes of this market.
- For independents, I'll aim for a commonsense interpretation of which party they are associated with.
- As a default source, I'll check 270towin, and see how they report it.
- Currently, they report "53 Republicans and 47 Democrats (including two independents)", so the Democrat share would be 47%, as the commonsense interpretation is that the two independents are with the Democrats.
- I don't expect this edge case to arise—there are no independents associated with the GOP at the moment, but this outlines how I'd handle the case if that changes.
