Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 07:30 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose2050 70.7%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet20. März 24, 07:09 UTC31. Dez. 51, 10:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill 50%+ of new cars sold in USA be Electric Cars by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill at least half of new cars sold in 2038 in the US be fully autonomous?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves based on our world in data.
- https://ourworldindata.org/electric-car-sales
- Their figure includes plug in hybrids.
- Was 8% in 2022.
- The idea of this question is the exclude hydrogen or any other competing technologies.
- I may change the data source if our world in data is no longer available (eg in 2050).
