Gavin Newsom gets at least 45% of the popular vote in 2028 Presidential Election
PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahl2J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 80.4%
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet12. Feb. 26, 19:54 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
JD Vance gets at least 45% of the popular vote in 2028 Presidential Election
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom run for President in the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be the nominee, and will he win?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Gavin Newsom win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExRegeln
Resolves YES if Gavin Newsom receives ≥45% of the national popular vote in the 2028 U.S. presidential general election, as reported by the official certified results.
- Resolves NO if he does not receive ≥45%, or if he is not a candidate in the general election.
