Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 29.10.2026, 13:40 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 51%
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert gestern
Veraltet12. Aug. 26, 16:29 UTC20. Jan. 29, 11:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
Resolves the same as Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumppardons/who-will-trump-pardon/kxtrumppardons-29jan21
- If Barron Trump has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from White House and New York Times.
- (Identical market to: source market)
