Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 57.3%
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 47 Minuten
Verzogert17. Apr. 26, 23:37 UTC20. Jan. 29, 11:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will real median income for family households in the US be higher in 2028 than in 2024?
Manifold MarketsGiven the Republican candidate wins the 2024 presidency, will the real median household income be more than $74,580?
Manifold MarketsGiven the Democratic candidate wins the 2024 presidency, will the real median household income be more than $74,580?
Manifold MarketsWill the Biden Administration’s “Export Control Framework for Artificial Intelligence Diffusion” be annulled by EOY2027?
Manifold MarketsFed Decision in October?
PolymarketTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves according to the Real Median Household Adjusted Income After Taxes and Transfers Section of the Distribution of Household Income in 2024 report by The Congressional Budget Office.
- Here's the 2022 report.
- See the supplemental data excel sheet for the statistic.
- It fell 7.2% during the first 2 years according to the CBO, but rose during the last 2 years according to the sources I'm aware of that have published for those years.
- Our World in Data found it decreased 2.8% during the Biden administration, but that's a small enough decrease that differences in methodology could outweigh it.