Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 52.4%
Prognostiker
25
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet9. Juli 25, 21:59 UTC1. Jan. 30, 17:51 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Jane Street guilty of Indian market manipulation or settles for $100M+?
Manifold MarketsWhen will AI be able to solve 50% of official Jane Street puzzles?
Manifold MarketsWill Dec-26 S&P 500 Index Futures settle above $7,675 on September 18 2026? (ES) (Stock market) (Wall Street) (Equities) (CME)?
ForecastExWill Dec-26 Nasdaq-100 Index Futures settle above 29,900 on September 18 2026? (NQ) (Tech stocks) (Stock market) (CME) (Wall Street) (Equity market)?
ForecastExWill Dec-26 Nasdaq-100 Index Futures settle above 29,200 on September 18 2026? (NQ) (Tech stocks) (Stock market) (CME) (Wall Street) (Equity market)?
ForecastExLargest Company end of December 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
In July 2025, Indian stock market regulator SEBI banned Jane Street Capital in India for market manipulation of BANKNIFTY & NIFTY50 index options.
- This market will resolve to my subjective probability of Jane Street having done anything against the law that relates to the controversy referenced above.
- I will extend this market until I feel the time is right, which will almost certainly be after any relevant legal cases are over.
- I will not close the market ahead of schedule.
- Disclaimer: This is a very subjective market.
- Further, I am not terribly informed about finance.
Offene Märkte
EquitiesPOLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-3.0pt73.5%
- Apple+2.4pt19.4%
- Alphabet7.1%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 45.911,3 €
KALSHIWhat will AutoZone say during their next earnings call?
- Same Store Sales98%
- Brazil98%
- Mega-Hub / Mega Hub98%
+11 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 64.989 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.9916.2%
- 8,000 to 8,199.99-2.0pt14.4%
- 7,600 to 7,799.99-1.0pt13.5%
+24 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 5,9 Mio. €
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.6pt53.9%
- SpaceX45.1%
- OpenAI-0.1pt1%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 560+1.0pt97%
- Above 580+5.0pt96%
- Above 600+3.0pt89%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- MercadoLibre items sold in 2026
- KOSPI all-time high before 2028?
- Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Instacart gross transaction value in Q3
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Boeing commercial deliveries in Q3
- What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of September 14 2026?
- What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit Week of September 14 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Did Jane Street do anything wrong in India??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 52% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird Did Jane Street do anything wrong in India? entschieden?
- Did Jane Street do anything wrong in India? soll am 1. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Did Jane Street do anything wrong in India? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: In July 2025, Indian stock market regulator SEBI banned Jane Street Capital in India for market manipulation of BANKNIFTY & NIFTY50 index options.