Depending on whether Trump wins the election, will Bezos become even richer by 2029?
PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahl2J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Trump wins, Bezos becomes richer 87.3%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Trump wins, Bezos becomes richer 87.3%Prognostiker
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Veraltet29. Okt. 24, 23:49 UTC1. Jan. 29, 22:59 UTC
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For simplicity, Trump "loses" if he does not win the election and Bezos will be considered "richer" if Forbes estimates his net worth to be higher than $208.4 billion at any point during 2028; otherwise, he will be considered "poorer." This covers all possible outcomes, including unlikely ones.
- If Forbes is not in business anymore by 2028, an alternative credible estimate will be used.
- I will not bet in this market.
