Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 95.8%
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37
Fragetyp
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet30. März 25, 22:01 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
Currently the Democrats hold 47 seats in the Senate (including the two independents who caucus with them, Sanders and King).
- This resolves YES if they GAIN seats (including any independents that caucus with them, or that a media consensus views as likely to caucus with them, or predominantly aligned with the democrat party and their views).
- If there are special elections or some sort of party flips of members between now and the election, this market will still require the democrats to gain seats during the midterms.
- That is to say, let's say one republican flips to being a democrat and there are then 48 dem seats in the senate, then they will have to have 49 seats after the midterm elections.
- If there are some sort of election-rigging claims, or the senate is disbanded, or the Trump admin stops democratic senators from being seated, or some other hijinxes ensue, I will use my judgement to ensure a fair resolution.
- Thus, I will not bet in this market.
Offene Märkte
Politics
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
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- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
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- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
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- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Democrats gain Senate seats in 2026 midterm elections??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 96% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Democrats gain Senate seats in 2026 midterm elections? entschieden?
- Democrats gain Senate seats in 2026 midterm elections? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Democrats gain Senate seats in 2026 midterm elections? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Currently the Democrats hold 47 seats in the Senate (including the two independents who caucus with them, Sanders and King).