This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one laboratory-confirmed case of Ebola virus disease (EVD) is reported in North America (defined as the United States, Canada, Mexico, Central America, or the Antilles) by a national public health authority (e.g., the CDC in the United States, the Public Health Agency of Canada, the Secretariat of Health in Mexico, etc.) before 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
If no such case is confirmed by the specified deadline, the market will resolve to "No." Cases that are suspected but not confirmed by official government health agencies do not count as a resolution for "Yes."
Update 2026-06-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Evacuees brought to North America for quarantine/treatment count toward resolution, provided they are laboratory-confirmed cases reported by a national public health authority.