Conditional on at least 2 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

Häufige Fragen

Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Conditional on at least 2 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive??

Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 78.5% (Stand: 24. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird Conditional on at least 2 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive? entschieden?

Conditional on at least 2 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive? soll am 1. Januar 2100 entschieden werden.

Wie wird Conditional on at least 2 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive? abgerechnet?

Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The condition is met if we ever cross the threshold, even if global temperatures are later brought below it.

Diesen Markt im Code oder in einem KI-Agenten nutzen

Kostenloses JSON zu diesem Markt, ohne API-Schlüssel:

KI-Agenten: pm_data_event über den MCP-Server von CoinRithm aufrufen:

KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 24, 2026?

• Albuquerque+11.0pt99.5%
• Denver-4.0pt45.5%
• West Palm Beach-9.0pt40%

+32 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

247.522,4 €

24h-Volumen

212.895,7 €

KALSHI

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 24, 2026?

• 75° to 76°+64.0pt98.5%
• 77° to 78°-49.0pt1.5%
• 79° or above-8.0pt

KALSHI

Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 24, 2026?

• 84° to 85°+33.0pt99.5%
• 82° to 83°-26.0pt0.5%
• 86° to 87°-4.0pt

KALSHI

Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 24, 2026?

• 59° to 60°+47.0pt78.5%
• 61° to 62°-40.0pt19%
• 63° to 64°-8.0pt

KALSHI

Highest temperature in Denver on Oct 24, 2026?

• 57° to 58°+57.0pt99.5%
• 61° or above-1.0pt0.5%
• 52° or below-2.0pt

KALSHI

Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 24 - Oct 25)?

• Albuquerque+14.0pt99.5%
• Miami+4.0pt95.5%
• West Palm Beach+14.0pt

• Hurricane Hanna category?
• Where will it rain on Oct 25, 2026?
• Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 24, 2026?
• Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 25?
• Highest temperature in London on October 25?
• Highest temperature in Austin on Oct 24, 2026?
• Highest temperature in Beijing on October 25?
• Highest temperature in Atlanta on Oct 24, 2026?
• What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 24, 2026?
• How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 19 - October 25?