Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 91%
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert30. Juli 23, 16:55 UTC2. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Car with no physical side mirrors widely available in the EU before 2027
Manifold MarketsStephen Casper: by EOY2026, a system with comparable cyber capabilities to Mythos will be widely available?
Manifold MarketsLoans against Polymarket positions widely available before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegeln
Side mirrors cause a lot of drag (they take up perhaps 5% of total energy use).
- They could be replaced with cameras and a display inside the car, but haven't been, partly due to laws.
- This resolves YES if a car without protruding mirrors is broadly, legally available in the US before 2027 and can drive on all public roads and highways.
- https://www.wired.com/2014/04/tesla-auto-alliance-mirrors/
- [link preview]
