Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 99%
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Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet6. Jan. 26, 00:52 UTC1. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC
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Will Byron Donalds win the Florida general election for Governor in 2026?
ForecastExFlorida Governor Election Winner
PolymarketFlorida Governor Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketWill David Jolly become Florida's next governor?
Manifold MarketsWho Will Win the 2026 Republican Primary for Florida Governor?
Manifold MarketsWill Jack Ciattarelli be the GOP Nominee for governor of New Jersey in 2029?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter.
- Source: [Predictions for 2026](https://www.slowboring.com/i/181456375/predictions-for) Yglesias assigned 80% probability to this prediction.
- Original prediction: "Byron Donalds will be the GOP nominee for governor of Florida" Resolution: Will resolve based on Yglesias' own assessment in his January 2027 review post.
- If he doesn't publish one, market creator will resolve based on the outcome.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 606,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 721.045,7 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 411.228,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
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- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Byron Donalds is GOP nominee for Florida governor??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 99% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Byron Donalds is GOP nominee for Florida governor? entschieden?
- Byron Donalds is GOP nominee for Florida governor? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Byron Donalds is GOP nominee for Florida governor? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter.