Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseBefore 2033 87%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
12
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 19 Minuten
11. Juni 26, 21:51 UTC1. Jan. 33, 06:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will Amazon have a broadly available drone delivery service in the US?
Manifold MarketsUber Eats First Zipline Drone Delivery by which date?
PolymarketWill drone delivery of groceries be available to the general public in San Francisco by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Amazon prime monthly subscription fee be $15 or higher at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill an official manifold account make markets for every state in every presidential election up to 2040
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
https://www.amazon.com/Prime-Air-Drone-Delivery/b?ie=UTF8&node=206533607011
- [image]Update 2026-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Every state" explicitly includes Alaska and Hawaii.
