Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 11.07.2026, 14:59 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-2
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseJune 30 1.1%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert gestern
Veraltet24. Juni 26, 16:4031. Dez. 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
June 301%
Plattformen vergleichen· December 31
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste insgesamt75% Übereinstimmung · auto | Hoch | 100% | — | 1893,7 € | 241.274,3 € | vor 18 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| Manifold MarketsDiese Seite | — | 98% | — | — | — | gestern |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Will the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act become law?
2T
99%
100%
99%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
91 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen488.552 €
24h-Volumen1893,7 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market resolves based on the official date that the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act is enacted into law.
- Under U.S. constitutional law, the bill will be considered enacted when:
- The President signs the bill.
- The President fails to sign or veto the bill within 10 days (excluding Sundays) of presentation while Congress is in session, causing it to automatically become law.
- Congress successfully overrides a Presidential veto.
- Each date option (e.g., "June 30", "July 4", "July 15", "July 31", "December 31st") will resolve to YES if the bill officially becomes law on or before 11:59 PM ET on that specified date in 2026.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$2.5k10. Juli2T Daten11. Juli
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This market resolves based on the official date that the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act is enacted into law.
- Under U.S. constitutional law, the bill will be considered enacted when:
- The President signs the bill.
- The President fails to sign or veto the bill within 10 days (excluding Sundays) of presentation while Congress is in session, causing it to automatically become law.
- Congress successfully overrides a Presidential veto.
- Each date option (e.g., "June 30", "July 4", "July 15", "July 31", "December 31st") will resolve to YES if the bill officially becomes law on or before 11:59 PM ET on that specified date in 2026.