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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet26. Nov. 25, 05:20 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the DRC's copper supply capacity exceed 1.5 million tonnes annually by 2027 due to US mineral deals?
Manifold MarketsWill world crude steel production in 2026 be at least 1,880 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill Chile's Valeriano Mine copper production exceed 7.5 million tonnes by February 16, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 10000 tpa on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?
PolymarketCrude Oil all time high by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Use OECD Steel Outlook 2025 and its successors:
- Let CAP_2026 be the OECD estimate of world crude steel capacity for 2026.
- YES if CAP_2026 ≥ 2,600 mmt/y, otherwise NO.
- OECD puts 2023 capacity at ~2,498.6 mmt, with +165 mmt (6.7%) planned additions 2025-27.
- If most projects go ahead and retirements are modest, 2026 lands around 2.6–2.62 Gt; if cancellations/closures bite harder, it could stay in the 2.5x range.
- So 2,600 mmt is basically “do we actually realise most of the pipeline by 2026?”.
