By the end of 2026, will global crude steelmaking capacity be at least 2,600 million tonnes per year?
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Veraltet26. Nov. 25, 05:20 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegeln
Use OECD Steel Outlook 2025 and its successors:
- Let CAP_2026 be the OECD estimate of world crude steel capacity for 2026.
- YES if CAP_2026 ≥ 2,600 mmt/y, otherwise NO.
- OECD puts 2023 capacity at ~2,498.6 mmt, with +165 mmt (6.7%) planned additions 2025-27.
- If most projects go ahead and retirements are modest, 2026 lands around 2.6–2.62 Gt; if cancellations/closures bite harder, it could stay in the 2.5x range.
- So 2,600 mmt is basically “do we actually realise most of the pipeline by 2026?”.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für By the end of 2026, will global crude steelmaking capacity be at least 2,600 million tonnes per year??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 65% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird By the end of 2026, will global crude steelmaking capacity be at least 2,600 million tonnes per year? entschieden?
- By the end of 2026, will global crude steelmaking capacity be at least 2,600 million tonnes per year? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird By the end of 2026, will global crude steelmaking capacity be at least 2,600 million tonnes per year? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Use OECD Steel Outlook 2025 and its successors: