Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 98.8%
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet9. Dez. 25, 22:57 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Brad Lander win the New York 10th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?
Manifold MarketsConditional on this candidate winning the 2028 Democratic presidential primary, will they win the general election?
Manifold MarketsDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES if Brad Lander wins the 2026 Democratic primary for Ny10 and wins the general election in Ny10.
- [image]Dan Goldman is considered a moderate Democrat who is vulnerable to a primary challenge from his left, especially due to the fact Zohran Mamdani won his district in the mayoral primary by36% and election by 34%.
Offene Märkte
ElectionsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 692.172 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.8pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,1 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,6 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Brad Lander wins 2026 primary and general??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 99% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Brad Lander wins 2026 primary and general? entschieden?
- Brad Lander wins 2026 primary and general? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Brad Lander wins 2026 primary and general? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if Brad Lander wins the 2026 Democratic primary for Ny10 and wins the general election in Ny10.