Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 91.4%
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet18. Mai 26, 15:31 UTC31. Dez. 34, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Tetra read a book in Toki Pona by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Duolingo launch a public Toki Pona course by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill 5 or more people comment here that they know how to speak Toki Pona?
Manifold MarketsNH-01 Democratic nominee?
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KalshiWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if any individual delivers a speech at least partially in the Toki Pona language during an official United Nations session, assembly, or conference before January 1, 2035.
- For the purposes of this market, a "speech" is defined as a formal oral address delivered to a UN body.
- A part of the speech must be identifiable as Toki Pona by linguistics experts or through official UN transcripts/records.
- If no such speech occurs by the deadline, or if the language used is determined to be a different constructed language, the market resolves to NO.
- Toki Pona is a constructed language (conlang) created by Canadian linguist Sonja Lang, first published in 2001.
Offene Märkte
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
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- J.D. Vance50%
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- 603 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für before 2035, will anyone give a UN speech in toki pona??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 91% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird before 2035, will anyone give a UN speech in toki pona? entschieden?
- before 2035, will anyone give a UN speech in toki pona? soll am 31. Dezember 2034 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird before 2035, will anyone give a UN speech in toki pona? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria