Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 87.4%
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet12. Mai 26, 19:32 UTC1. Jan. 28, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Tetra read a book in Toki Pona by the end of 2026?
Manifold Marketsbefore 2035, will anyone give a UN speech in toki pona?
Manifold MarketsWill 5 or more people comment here that they know how to speak Toki Pona?
Manifold MarketsHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegeln
This market resolves YES if Duolingo launches a public Toki Pona course on its app or website before 2028-01-01 00:00 UTC.
- A public beta or public preview counts if ordinary users can access the course without a private invite.
- A waitlist, incubator placeholder, job listing, blog post, social-media announcement, forum discussion, or third-party/non-Duolingo Toki Pona course does not count unless the Duolingo course itself becomes publicly accessible.
- A course under a translated or alternate title counts if Duolingo clearly presents it as Toki Pona.
- Resolution sources: Duolingo course directory/app, official Duolingo blog/social posts, and reliable coverage that points to an actual public course.
- Toki Pona is a constructed language; this market was created for soweliSon's conlang market bounty.
Offene Märkte
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 944.111,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 721.811,5 €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 620.000,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 536.049,8 €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 514.924,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 496.890,6 €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Duolingo launch a public Toki Pona course by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 87% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Duolingo launch a public Toki Pona course by the end of 2027? entschieden?
- Will Duolingo launch a public Toki Pona course by the end of 2027? soll am 1. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Duolingo launch a public Toki Pona course by the end of 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves YES if Duolingo launches a public Toki Pona course on its app or website before 2028-01-01 00:00 UTC.