Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseBen Allen 66.9%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-2.2 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet25. Mai 26, 03:42 UTC3. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially certified as the winner of the 2026 California Insurance Commissioner election by the California Secretary of State.
- The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- The resolution will be based on the official final election results published by the California Secretary of State's Office.
- If the election is canceled or the office remains vacant for any reason, the market will resolve N/A. The 2026 California Insurance Commissioner election is a high-profile contest to succeed incumbent Ricardo Lara, who is term-limited and ineligible for re-election.