Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 69.8%
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet2. Dez. 25, 01:28 UTC31. Dez. 39, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
[Metaculus] Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow many USNC micro-modular reactors will be in operation in 2030? (x5)
Manifold MarketsHow much small modular nuclear reactor (SMR) capacity in US by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill a Small Modular Reactor (SMR) enter commercial operation in the US before 2030?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by which date?
PolymarketOpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that the United Kingdom has at least 10 working small modular nuclear reactor (SMR) units before January 1st 2040.
- For this market:
- “SMR” definition:
- A reactor counts as an SMR if its electrical capacity is ≤ 300 MWe, in line with common IAEA / industry definitions, or if it is explicitly described as a “small modular reactor” (or “advanced modular reactor”) by the UK government, the operator, or major international nuclear bodies.
- Only fission reactors count.
- Fusion devices do not count.
