KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
At least 44% · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Gespeicherter Preis
At least 44% 51.5%Führend unter 11 Optionen
At least 44% 51.5%Marktqualitat
17 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
6,2 €
Open Interest
795,6 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
At least 44%Spread
—
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 50 Minuten
Verzogert19. Sept. 26, 00:00 UTC3. Nov. 27, 14:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · At least 44%
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Cobb County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiBexar County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
KalshiDallas County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
KalshiWebb County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
KalshiOakland County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
KalshiMilwaukee County, Wisconsin: David Crowley vote percent
KalshiRegeln
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Xavier Becerra in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Orange County, California is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places (2). Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- At least 44%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Xavier Becerra in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Orange County, California is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 52%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Xavier Becerra in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Orange County, California is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 54%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Xavier Becerra in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Orange County, California is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 56%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Xavier Becerra in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Orange County, California is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 50%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Xavier Becerra in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Orange County, California is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 46%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Xavier Becerra in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Orange County, California is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 48%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Xavier Becerra in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Orange County, California is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 58%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Xavier Becerra in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Orange County, California is 58% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 60%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Xavier Becerra in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Orange County, California is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 62%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Xavier Becerra in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Orange County, California is 62% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 64%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Xavier Becerra in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Orange County, California is 64% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
