KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
At least 48% 98%Führend unter 9 Optionen
At least 48% 98%Marktqualitat
59 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1636,3 €
Open Interest
1538,6 €
Niedriges Open InterestSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
5. Okt. 26, 21:00 UTC25. Okt. 27, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent
KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory
KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: which countries will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: will Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro debate?
KalshiFlávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?
PolymarketRegeln
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- The percentage is Flávio Bolsonaro's share of the valid votes cast in the second round (runoff), calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- At least 48%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 49%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 49% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 50%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 51%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 51% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 52%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 53%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 53% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 54%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 55%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 55% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 56%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.