Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
PolitikOne-OffWahlLateinamerika1J
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Roraima 97%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Roraima 97%Marktqualitat
66 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
6029,7 €
Open Interest
7427,8 €
Mittleres Open InterestSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
5. Okt. 26, 21:00 UTC25. Okt. 27, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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PolymarketRegeln
If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Tocantins in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: Rank is based on runoff vote totals only In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. Each market ranks the runoff votes cast in the named state, as reported by the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE). Votes cast abroad are not part of any state.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Roraima
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Roraima in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tocantins
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Tocantins in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Minas Gerais
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Minas Gerais in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Amapá
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Amapá in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Amazonas
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Amazonas in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pará
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Pará in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alagoas
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Alagoas in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.