KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
At least 17% 86%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
53,4 €
Liquidität
53,4 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
11. Sept. 26, 20:00 UTC20. Sept. 27, 14:00 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by CDU in the 2026 Berlin state election is 15% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Der Landeswahlleiter für Berlin
- The percentage is (second votes received by the party ÷ total valid second votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions, use certified/official results; unofficial results or media declarations may be used only as those provisions allow.
- If voting is cancelled, suspended, or postponed before it concludes, or no results (certified or unofficial as reported by the Source Agencies) are available by expiration, resolve No, subject to those provisions.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, use the most recent certified percentage.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Berlin state election: CDU vote share??
- Kalshi bewertet At least 17% mit 86% (Stand: 13. September 2026).
- Wann wird Berlin state election: CDU vote share? entschieden?
- Berlin state election: CDU vote share? soll am 20. September 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Berlin state election: CDU vote share? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by CDU in the 2026 Berlin state election is 15% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Berlin state election: CDU vote share? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.