KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 76%
Marktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
327,6 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
22.0% / 29.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
2. Sept. 26, 23:00 UTC3. Nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
If a completed submission by any of the 50 states of federal ballot-mail data through the USPS Federal Ballot Mail Portal is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:United States Postal ServiceThe New York TimesAssociated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABC NewsCBS NewsCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC News
- This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.
- News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency that A) explicitly states a qualifying state submission was completed, B) is based on journalistic investigation, sources, or evidence, and C) is presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation.
- State means one of the 50 states.
- A qualifying submission requires a state or its authorized designee to complete the transfer of federal ballot-mail data through the Federal Ballot Mail Portal.
- Account creation, portal familiarization, design communication, optional notice, intent, planning, and a failed or incomplete upload do NOT qualify.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 76% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS? entschieden?
- Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS? soll am 3. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If a completed submission by any of the 50 states of federal ballot-mail data through the USPS Federal Ballot Mail Portal is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.