KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitAt least 5 99%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
2,6 €
Liquidität
1390,9 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
51.0% / 56.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 22 Minuten
9. Juli 26, 17:171. Jan. 27, 14:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
At least 751%
Plattformen vergleichen· At least 5
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 99% | — | 2,6 € | 1390,9 € | vor 22 Minuten | |
 PolymarketAktivste96% Übereinstimmung · auto | Niedrig | 38% | — | 15,8 € | 1881,5 € | vor 22 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
5Mon
-1.0pt32.5%
+0.5pt29.9%
16.2%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
37 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen17.236,5 €
24h-Volumen15,8 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections with polling day scheduled and held in 2026 is at least 5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections with polling day scheduled and held in 2026 is at least 6, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections with polling day scheduled and held in 2026 is at least 7, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections with polling day scheduled and held in 2026 is at least 8, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections with polling day scheduled and held in 2026 is at least 9, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$39. Juli12T Daten28. Juli
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If the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections with polling day scheduled and held in 2026 is at least 5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections with polling day scheduled and held in 2026 is at least 6, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections with polling day scheduled and held in 2026 is at least 7, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections with polling day scheduled and held in 2026 is at least 8, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections with polling day scheduled and held in 2026 is at least 9, then the market resolves to Yes.