Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Kuomintang 85%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
918,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
79.0% / 84.0%
Spread
6.3%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Minuten
8. Juli 26, 0:0028. Nov. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Kuomintang85%
Volumentrend
$128. Juli9T Daten21. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Taiwan presidential election winner?
76,5 €William Lai: 67%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
0 €Ja: 19%KALSHI
KALSHI
Conditional on the next US President being Republican, will China invade Taiwan during the next presidential term?
576,3 €Ja: 23%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
44 €Kuomintang (KMT): 87%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by which date?
1145,1 €December 31: 26%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
847,6 €Ja: 74%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the Kuomintang wins the most mayoral and magistrate races in Taiwan’s 2026 local elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls.
- See full rules for details.
- If the Democratic Progressive Party wins the most mayoral and magistrate races in Taiwan’s 2026 local elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Taiwan People’s Party wins the most mayoral and magistrate races in Taiwan’s 2026 local elections, then the market resolves to Yes.