Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jan 1, 2035 38%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
28 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0,4 €
Liquidität
146,6 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
32.0% / 39.0%
Spread
21.9%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
27. Mai 26, 14:001. Jan. 35, 4:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Before Jan 1, 203538%
Verwandte Märkte
How many Starship launches will occur in 2026?
17.173,4 €5 or more: 27.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
6155,1 €By Dec 31, 2025: 74%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13
2128,4 €August 31: 81%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of June 29 above___?
1147,7 €$125: 93%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
971 €2027: 66%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill SpinLaunch have a successful launch by EoY 2026?
738,1 €Ja: 2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads is confirmed after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- If the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads is confirmed after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads is confirmed after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.