Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jan 1, 2027 8%-3.8ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
63 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
50 €
Liquidität
20.164,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
1.0% / 6.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Minuten
19. Juni 26, 19:001. Sept. 26, 3:59
Trends
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Before Sep 1, 20261%
Volumentrend
$575. Juli21T Daten27. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Next French Presidential Election
98.150 €Marine Le Pen: 31%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Clacton by-election: 2nd place
40.580 €Count Binface: 78%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
20.502,3 €United Russia (ER): 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which UK Constituencies will see By-Elections in the 2024 (59th) Parliament?
464,2 €Richmond and Northallerton [Rishi Sunak]: 30.5%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Next General Election - Most Seats
293 €Conservative: 20.83%SMARKETS
SMARKETSWhich party will win the second Clacton by-election from now?
219,3 €Reform UK: 64.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If United Kingdom officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A "snap election" is a national election for the legislature or head of government called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest constitutionally or legally required date.
- The announcement must be made by a person or body with the legal authority to call such elections, must specify an actual election date, and must occur after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the election is scheduled to take place.
- If United Kingdom officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The announcement must be made by a person or body with the legal authority to call such elections, must specify an actual election date, and must occur after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the election is scheduled to take place.
- If United Kingdom officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.