KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 50%
Marktqualitat
39 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
671,1 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
49.0% / 57.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
4. Sept. 26, 16:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the US agrees to or announces a substantive federal action arising from its Smithsonian pressure campaign before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The White HouseU.S. Department of the InteriorNational Park Servicethe Associated PressReutersThe Washington PostABC News
- For this market, a qualifying action is limited to one of the following:
- A federal agency cancels, suspends, or refuses to renew an existing artifact loan to the Smithsonian.
- A federal agency cancels, suspends, or refuses to renew an existing procurement-assistance arrangement with the Smithsonian.
- A federal agency withholds, rescinds, suspends, or refuses a named discretionary grant to the Smithsonian, or imposes a new binding condition on that grant.
- The Department of the Interior or National Park Service installs any of the temporary Smithsonian-related signs or exhibits on National Park Service property ordered by Executive Order 14416.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian??
- Kalshi bewertet Yes mit 50% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian? entschieden?
- Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the US agrees to or announces a substantive federal action arising from its Smithsonian pressure campaign before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.