KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
SNS-led list 82.2%+7.0ptMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
48 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
648,5 €
Liquidität
1122,6 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
79.0% / 85.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
29. Juni 26, 16:30 UTC30. Juni 27, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?
PolymarketSwedish Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
KalshiSwedish Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
KalshiNext Greek Parliamentary Election: Party Winner
PolymarketWho will be elected Prime Minister following the next Greek parliamentary election?
Manifold MarketsWill Kyriakos Mitsotakis be leader of New Democracy going into the next Greek parliamentary election?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the named outcome wins the next Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Republic Electoral Commission
- the named outcome: Any formally registered electoral list containing the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS).
- the named outcome: Any formally registered electoral list designated as its national parliamentary electoral list by the university students organizing Serbia’s nationwide university blockades, provided that the list does not contain SNS.
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 606,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 721.045,7 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 411.228,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Serbian parliamentary election winner??
- Kalshi bewertet SNS-led list mit 82% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Serbian parliamentary election winner? entschieden?
- Serbian parliamentary election winner? soll am 30. Juni 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Serbian parliamentary election winner? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the named outcome wins the next Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.