KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 95%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1814,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
2.0% / 6.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
14. Mai 26, 22:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Trump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketClaudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by which date?
PolymarketMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
PolymarketTrump out as President before 2027?
LimitlessWill Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?
Manifold MarketsMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If Florentino Pérez leaves from being President of Real Madrid in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to "No."
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
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+38 weitere Ergebnisse
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
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+16 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
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+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
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KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-1.0pt67%
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- Gesamtvolumen
- 4,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 523.099,1 €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate-1.0pt46.1%
- D-House, R-Senate36.3%
- R-House, R-Senate15.7%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10,6 Mio. €
- Texas Senate winner?
- Ohio Senate winner?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- TX-15 House winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Real Madrid: Florentino Pérez Out as President?
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 95% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Real Madrid: Florentino Pérez Out as President entschieden?
- Real Madrid: Florentino Pérez Out as President soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Real Madrid: Florentino Pérez Out as President abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Florentino Pérez leaves from being President of Real Madrid in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Real Madrid: Florentino Pérez Out as President außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.