KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertVom Anbieter Markt für Markt abgerechnet
Entschieden: 09.10.2026, 15:24
Dieses Ereignis hat keinen einzelnen Gewinner. Der Anbieter hat jeden Markt einzeln abgerechnet; jeder Markt zeigt sein eigenes Ergebnis.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 09.10.2026, 14:25 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
34 or more1%
2 or more2%
37 or more1%
40 or more1%
45 or more1%
52 or more1%
4 or more2%
8 or more2%
24 or more2%
27 or more2%
20 or more2%
31 or more2%
2 or moreVerloren
4 or moreVerloren
8 or moreVerloren
12 or moreVerloren
20 or moreVerloren
24 or moreVerloren
27 or moreVerloren
31 or moreVerloren
34 or moreVerloren
37 or moreVerloren
40 or moreVerloren
45 or moreVerloren
52 or moreVerloren
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiRegeln
Archivierte Regeln auf Ereignisebene. Die genauen Bedingungen für jedes Ergebnis sind nicht mehr verfügbar.
If Coalition avenir Québec has won at least 2 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Elections Quebec
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either (a) the time for filing legal challenges has expired without challenge, (b) any legal challenges have been finally resolved, or (c) the elected member has taken their seat in the parliament/legislature.
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of any subsequent changes in affiliation.
- The count will be determined when the new legislature takes their seat, even if vacant seats remain or some results are continuing to be challenged.
- If the election is postponed, the market will remain open and resolve based on the rescheduled election, unless the postponement extends beyond one year from the originally scheduled date, in which case the market will resolve to the last fair market price.
- If the election is cancelled entirely (that is, it is not Fully Conducted as defined in the Contract), the market will resolve to the last fair market price.