KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
12 or more 96%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
4127,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
5.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
1. Sept. 26, 02:00 UTC5. Okt. 27, 14:00 UTC
Trends
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
If Coalition avenir Québec has won at least 12 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Elections Quebec
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either (a) the time for filing legal challenges has expired without challenge, (b) any legal challenges have been finally resolved, or (c) the elected member has taken their seat in the parliament/legislature.
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of any subsequent changes in affiliation.
- The count will be determined when the new legislature takes their seat, even if vacant seats remain or some results are continuing to be challenged.
- If the election is postponed, the market will remain open and resolve based on the rescheduled election, unless the postponement extends beyond one year from the originally scheduled date, in which case the market will resolve to the last fair market price.
- If the election is cancelled entirely (that is, it is not Fully Conducted as defined in the Contract), the market will resolve to the last fair market price.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Quebec general election: CAQ number of seats??
- Kalshi bewertet 12 or more mit 96% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Quebec general election: CAQ number of seats? entschieden?
- Quebec general election: CAQ number of seats? soll am 5. Oktober 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Quebec general election: CAQ number of seats? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Coalition avenir Québec has won at least 12 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Quebec general election: CAQ number of seats? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.