KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Maura Sullivan, ≥6% 53.5%Führend unter 5 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
57 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1509,9 €
Liquidität
1467,1 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
7. Sept. 26, 17:53 UTC8. Sept. 27, 14:00 UTC
Trends
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Chris Pappas)
KalshiNH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stefany Shaheen)
KalshiMA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch)
KalshiWill Maura Sullivan win the New Hampshire 1st District Democratic primary election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExNH-02 Democratic Primary Winner
PolymarketNew Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory
PolymarketRegeln
If the margin of victory for Maura Sullivan in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary is at or above 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Maura Sullivan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Maura Sullivan if Maura Sullivan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Maura Sullivan loses.
- If Maura Sullivan wins, the margin will be positive; if Maura Sullivan loses, the margin will be negative; if Maura Sullivan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Maura Sullivan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan)?
- Kalshi bewertet Maura Sullivan, ≥6% mit 53% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan) entschieden?
- NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan) soll am 8. September 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan) abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the margin of victory for Maura Sullivan in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary is at or above 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.